Daily Updates on Russian Invasion of Ukraine
If you care about Ukraine, you are in the right place. I try to provide unique insights that help you understand the context. Just listen to ONE episode, and if you like it, subscribe. To support my effort, you can: Support me on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplains Support me directly at PayPal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdes or Buy Me A Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/dr.gerdes
Episodes

6 hours ago
6 hours ago
15 min
I examine how Trump’s move to exclude CNN, MS NOW, and Politico from White House access prompted competing networks—including Fox News—to stand together. I explain how the television press pool works, review Brit Hume’s criticism and Jonathan Turley’s legal analysis, and show why this confrontation could backfire on the White House. I also revisit past examples of networks defending one another across political divides. You don’t have to agree with a news organization’s coverage to defend its ability to hold government accountable.Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Chapters0:00 Trump’s Press Ban Brings Rival Networks Together0:45 PBS Objects as Networks Suspend Pool Coverage1:53 Roger Stone Attacks Fox—Then the Audio Goes Missing2:59 Supporting Speech You Don’t Like3:57 The First Amendment Debate5:11 Brit Hume Explains Why the Press Pool Exists6:28 Hume Questions What Trump Actually Gains8:36 When Networks Defended Fox and CNN Before9:42 Jonathan Turley Explains the Legal Challenge11:19 Fox Cuts Away From Vance’s Rally11:52 Independent Reporting and Presidential Accountability13:03 Vance Says “It’s Not a Ban”13:44 Viewer Comments: Russia’s Election and Putin’s Power14:46 Your Thoughts and Project ConstantineSources mentionedFox News coverage featuring Bret Baier, Brit Hume, and Jonathan Turley; The New York Times; PBS News; statements from Donald Trump, Roger Stone, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Michael McFaul, and JD Vance. Direct source URLs were not included in the transcript.Hashtags#FoxNews #Trump #FreedomOfThePress #CNN #WhiteHouse #ProfessorGerdes Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

9 hours ago
9 hours ago
16 min
Ukraine is hitting Russian oil refineries as Zelensky prepares to meet Trump—and I explain why those strikes are a bargaining chip Ukraine cannot afford to surrender without something in return.I examine Ukraine’s reported strikes on the Kuibyshev and Ufa refineries, reports that Moscow’s refinery has halted crude processing after an earlier attack, and Ukrainian strikes targeting Russia’s drone infrastructure. The strategic question is straightforward: why should Ukraine stop hitting Russian refineries while Russia continues attacking Ukraine’s electricity and energy supplies?I also cover Russia’s overnight attacks, the reported destruction of a Ukrainian oil and gas facility, power outages ahead of winter, and the latest battlefield developments. I distinguish reported damage from uncertain estimates—including the claim about how much Russian refining capacity is offline.Finally, I discuss drone warfare, an unconfirmed report of strikes on Russian FSB sites, and the former Russian mayor whose journey from a bribery conviction to the battlefield offers a grim illustration of this war.My argument: any agreement to halt attacks on energy infrastructure must protect Ukraine’s energy system too. Pressure on Zelensky alone will not accomplish that.Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.CHAPTERS0:00 Trump, Zelensky, and Ukraine’s Refinery Leverage0:37 Overnight Ukrainian Strikes Inside Russia0:55 Kuibyshev and Ufa Refineries Reportedly Hit3:08 Russian Drone Sites and Air Defenses Targeted4:12 Moscow Refinery Shutdown and Russia’s Fuel Problems5:37 Russia’s Overnight Attacks on Ukraine6:04 Ukrainian Oil and Gas Facility Devastated6:45 Civilian Damage and Power Outages7:52 Why an Energy Truce Must Protect Ukraine8:35 Battlefield Update and Reported Russian Losses9:45 Where Russia’s Autumn Offensive Could Develop10:27 Drone Warfare and Strikes on Russian Logistics11:31 Unconfirmed Reports of Strikes on FSB Sites12:07 Convicted Russian Ex-Mayor Reportedly Killed in Ukraine13:07 Viewer Comments: Trump, the AfD, and Operation Vivaldi14:44 What Can the Trump–Zelensky Meeting Achieve?15:08 Supporting Ukraine and a Historical Reminder#Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Trump #UkraineWarFundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

2 days ago
2 days ago
20 min
I examine two election results that could sharpen the strategic pressure on Ukraine: AfD’s 38.3% result in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, where Friedrich Merz’s CDU fell below the 5% parliamentary threshold, and United Russia’s new constitutional majority in the Duma. AfD leaders have said they would end support for Ukraine, restore relations with Moscow, and resume Russian gas purchases—making Germany’s political instability a major test for European cohesion.I also look at Ukraine’s effort to build fuel storage in Hungary amid fears of winter strikes, plus the claimed 416 km/h Zorylet V5 interceptor drone. On the Russian side, I assess plans to expand carbon-fiber capacity that could support 28,000 additional Shahed-136-type airframes annually, alongside reported Dan-T missile production targets. The central question is whether Europe can sustain support for Ukraine while Russia further consolidates political power and military-industrial capacity.00:00 Why Germany and Russia’s Elections Matter for Ukraine03:04 AfD’s Mecklenburg Win and CDU’s Parliamentary Defeat06:33 East Germany, Economic Frustration, and Political Extremes09:14 Immigration, the Political Center, and Ukraine Support11:55 Merz’s Leadership and Europe’s Security Stakes14:28 Russia’s Shahed and Missile Production Plans18:07 What These Results Mean for Ukraine#Ukraine #GermanyElection #AfD #Russia #Putin #FriedrichMerzFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperienceAmazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)https://a.co/iodWsUKAmazon Shopping List for EU/UKhttps://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USAhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.htmlLink for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Informationhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.html🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

2 days ago
2 days ago
16 min
I examine Operation Vivaldi, the Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps campaign north of Liman, where the corps says it retook 40 square kilometers in its second phase and liberated Shandrohovo, Derilov, and Drobyshev. I compare those claims with Russian statements, Russian milblogger reporting, geolocated footage, DeepState mapping, and ISW’s assessment that Moscow portrayed the battlefield inaccurately.The most consequential reported tactic was heavy multirotor “Baba Yaga” drones delivering kamikaze unmanned ground vehicles more than 10 kilometers behind Russian lines. I trace how UGVs moving ahead of infantry, electronic warfare suppressing Russian reconnaissance, artillery, and strikes on command posts, logistics, and reserves may have enabled a flanking maneuver. The stakes extend beyond Liman: pressure on the 1st Guards Tank Army, 20th Combined Arms Army, and 25th Combined Arms Army could complicate Russia’s anticipated autumn approach to Donetsk.00:00 Operation Vivaldi and the Liman salient02:22 Ukraine’s territorial gains in Vivaldi’s second phase04:07 The 3rd Army Corps and Russian force losses07:06 Command initiative, infantry, and combined arms10:00 Strikes on Russian logistics and rear areas12:14 What Liman means for Russia’s Donbas offensive14:42 Project Constantine and support for Ukraine#UkraineWar #OperationVivaldi #Liman #DroneWarfare #RussianInvasion #DonbasFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperienceAmazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)https://a.co/iodWsUKAmazon Shopping List for EU/UKhttps://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USAhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.htmlLink for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Informationhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.html🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

2 days ago
2 days ago
17 min
I examine Ukraine’s reported long-range strikes on Ufa in Bashkortostan, roughly 1,600 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, and why the Rosneft refining cluster matters. With combined crude-processing capacity exceeding 23 million tons annually, Ufa produces motor fuels, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products. I also track reported strikes on bridges near Polohy, a Kasta 2E2 low-altitude radar station, and a UAV command post—targets tied directly to Russian logistics, air defense, and force movement.I then assess the political dimension of the reported mass drone attack during Russia’s elections. Moscow’s airports reportedly closed, hundreds of flights were canceled, mobile networks were disrupted, and claims emerged that air-raid warnings were suppressed. Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed 1,951 Ukrainian drones and eight missiles; I explain why that figure warrants caution. Meanwhile, Russian strikes damaged civilian sites in Zaporizhzhia and hit locations across Ukraine. The contest is not only over infrastructure, but over Putin’s promise that the war can remain distant from Russian society.00:00 Overnight Strikes and the Ufa Refinery02:01 Polohy Bridges, Kasta Radar, and UAV Command Post03:41 Ukraine’s Long-Range Campaign Objectives05:45 Russia’s Extraordinary Drone Claims07:14 Election-Day Disruptions and Suppressed Warnings09:06 Anti-Drone Defenses Around Oil Facilities13:30 Battlefield Pressure and Key Fronts15:13 Mobilization Fears and Russia’s War Economy#UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #UfaRefinery #MoscowAirDefense #RussianOil #ZaporizhzhiaFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

3 days ago
3 days ago
14 min
I examine the economic stresses surrounding Russia’s September 2026 Duma election and what Putin may do after securing the mandate he seeks. Reports this week pointed to fuel queues, the release of gasoline reserves ahead of voting, corporate-bond defaults reportedly up 63% year over year, and a 12% decline in Russian travel-agency demand.I also look at the agricultural dislocation: sunflower prices have fallen amid a 50% export duty, while industry sources describe wheat exports as down at least 60%. The government’s proposed purchase of 3 million tons of grain is far below the 10 million tons analysts say may be needed in the south. Finally, I assess the reported transfer of Nestlé, Auchan, and other foreign subsidiaries to Lev Management, Aeroflot’s MC-21 delivery promises, and the pressure that economic hardship may place on recruitment and future Kremlin choices—from further seizures to mobilization or hybrid coercion.00:00 Duma Election and Putin’s Post-Vote Choices01:17 Fuel Queues and Election Optics04:20 Financial-Market Strain and Gasoline Reserves05:42 Marketplace Seller Losses and Grain Support07:27 Wheat Export Collapse and Farm Pressure08:51 Nestlé and Auchan Asset Seizures10:23 MC-21 Promises and Wartime Recruitment13:04 What Comes After the Election?#RussiaUkraineWar #Putin #RussianEconomy #DumaElection #MobilizationFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperienceAmazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)https://a.co/iodWsUKAmazon Shopping List for EU/UKhttps://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USAhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.htmlLink for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Informationhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.html🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

3 days ago
3 days ago
19 min
I examine Ukraine’s reported Operation Vivaldi, including claims by the Third Army Corps that Shandrohovo and Derilov were liberated and Drobyshev is under Ukrainian control. Ukrainian and Russian military-blogger reporting points to pressure on the Russian salient along the Lomon axis, with potentially serious implications for Russian positions around Yampol, Kupyansk, and Moscow’s repeatedly delayed objective of taking the Donbas.I also assess the larger strategic tension: Zelensky’s approval of expanded long-range operations, Poland’s warning that inadequate Ukrainian air defense leaves Russian drones able to reach its border, and Denmark’s new $275 million military aid package. As Putin casts Russia’s parliamentary election as a referendum on the war, I look at the gap between Kremlin messaging, reported battlefield reverses, expanding Russian weapons production, and questions over whether mobilization follows the vote.00:00 Operation Vivaldi and Russian battlefield setbacks02:53 Mapping Ukrainian gains on the Lomon axis07:15 Europe’s political divide over Russia and NATO08:59 Russian drones, Poland, and NATO air defense13:03 Putin’s election messaging and the Ukraine war14:48 Russian weapons production and mobilization questions17:20 Trump, the GOP, and U.S. political consequences19:45 After the election: mobilization and Putin’s next move#UkraineRussiaWar #OperationVivaldi #Donbas #NATO #DeterrenceFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperienceAmazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)https://a.co/iodWsUKAmazon Shopping List for EU/UKhttps://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USAhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.htmlLink for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Informationhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.html🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

3 days ago
3 days ago
17 min
I examine the reported large-scale Ukrainian strike on Moscow and the gap between the scale of the attack and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin’s claim that more than 1,600 UAVs were repelled. Monitoring sources estimated roughly 400 Ukrainian drones, while footage and reports indicated fires at the Moscow oil refinery and major damage at the Sofino logistics complex. The refinery reportedly processes about 11 million tons annually and supplies a significant share of Moscow’s fuel market.I also assess the strategic purpose of a multi-layered operation reportedly involving FP-1, RZ-100, Lyutyi, Flamingo, and other systems. Beyond the refinery, the attack disrupted roughly 400 flights and coincided with reported strikes on a Buk-M3 system, a Nebo-U radar, UAV production, and command targets. The central issue is whether Russia’s dense defenses around its capital can reliably protect critical infrastructure—and what political or military response Putin may choose after election day.00:00 Reported Large-Scale Strike on Moscow03:04 Moscow Oil Refinery Fire05:26 Sofino Logistics Complex and Airport Disruption07:55 Other Reported Russian Military Targets09:58 Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Civilians12:01 Battlefield Losses and Air Defense Picture14:16 What the Moscow Strike Means for Putin16:40 Putin’s Potential Post-Election Response#UkraineRussiaWar #MoscowRefinery #RussianAirDefense #Putin #UkraineDroneStrike #DeterrenceFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperienceAmazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)https://a.co/iodWsUKAmazon Shopping List for EU/UKhttps://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USAhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.htmlLink for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Informationhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.html🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

3 days ago
3 days ago
15 min
I examine why Republicans could face severe pressure heading into the November 3, 2026 midterms while holding the White House and both chambers of Congress. The numbers voters see every day are stark: average gas prices are cited at $4.47 per gallon, up from $3.19 a year earlier, while ground beef reached $7.16 per pound in August—7.9% above 2025. I discuss the argument that the Iran war’s energy effects and Trump’s tariffs are turning kitchen-table costs into a political liability.I also assess reports that U.S. intelligence has identified a Russian online campaign aimed at undermining confidence in the election, Trump’s stated plan to bar CNN, Politico, and MS Now from White House access, and the controversy over Donald Trump Jr.’s wedding events. Finally, I look at a closely contested Kansas Senate race, Ken Paxton’s 63–36 defeat of John Cornyn in Texas, and Putin and Dmitry Peskov’s latest public claims.00:00 Why Republicans Face Midterm Pressure01:43 Gas, Ground Beef, Tariffs and Iran03:23 Trump Approval Claims vs. Economic Fundamentals04:47 Don Jr. Wedding Controversy08:08 Russia’s Reported Election Influence Campaign09:40 Kansas, Texas and Republican Electoral Risks12:01 Source Triangulation and Ukraine’s Military Adaptation14:01 Putin and Peskov’s Latest Claims#USMidterms #RepublicanParty #IranWar #Russia #ElectionSecurity #KenPaxtonFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperienceAmazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)https://a.co/iodWsUKAmazon Shopping List for EU/UKhttps://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USAhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.htmlLink for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Informationhttps://www.gregterry.org/donate.html🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR

4 days ago
4 days ago
22 min
In this briefing, I examine why suspected drone activity near Luxembourg Airport, reports of drones targeting British military sites, and new resilience messaging in Switzerland and the UK matter beyond isolated disruptions. My central argument is a forecast, not a prediction: a European confrontation may be less likely to begin with a mass ground invasion than with hybrid attacks that spiral into missile exchanges. I weigh the Baltic posture—including French forces in Estonia, British forces in Latvia, and German forces in Lithuania—and why deterrence still depends on a credible response.I also cover Zelensky’s approval of new long-range operations, Ukraine’s foreign-volunteer recruitment center, and the reported $2.68 billion U.S. air-defense package. Beyond Ukraine, I assess Lukashenko’s remarks on Belarusian sovereignty, reported Russian election manipulation, new U.S. sanctions authorities targeting Russian energy, defense, and shadow-fleet networks, and why Putin’s mobilization denials may reflect domestic political risk rather than a reduced military ambition.00:00 Ukraine’s Long-Range Operations and Readiness02:56 The Baltic Question and a Different Kind of War05:02 Hybrid Threats Across Europe07:14 Russia’s Political Pressure in Germany and Belarus11:09 Belarusian Sovereignty and Russia’s Control Model13:10 Russian Elections, Propaganda, and Donbas Claims16:10 Russia-Iran Satellite Intelligence, Sanctions, and Air Defense18:40 Greenland, Mobilization, and the Deterrence Test21:20 What Russia’s Denials May Signal#Ukraine #Russia #EuropeanSecurity #NATO #AirDefenseFacts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.Fundraisers video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BMTs6amkGUg and Here is the direct link to the Ukraine Support Bridge: https://ukrainesupportbridge.com/ - Ukrainian Refugee M's Room and Board is covered for this year. It is not for the rest of her time at CSU. I will be pushing on the other fundraisers for now, but if you still wish to give to make that whole (Aprox 48K total), here is the direct link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/support-ms-journey-at-charleston-southern-university?attribution_id=sl:2708fb35-6c96-49b9-a5f9-6b7567483de6&lang=en_US&ts=1786462653&utm_campaign=fp_sharesheet&utm_content=amp30-treatment-3&utm_medium=customer&utm_source=copy_link ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplainsBuy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdesPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdesYouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukrainehttps://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE ***🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow.🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine.🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email professorgerdesyt@gmail.com#UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR







